TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks passing performance thresholds for quarterbacks in an upcoming professional football game. Bettors can speculate on whether specific players will meet or exceed designated completion numbers during the match. Outcomes depend purely on in-game statistics, with predefined conditions for player availability and snap participation.
All markets resolve based on the total passing completions recorded by named quarterbacks during the Washington vs Dallas game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. For any quarterback, if they are active but never take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the actual number of completions recorded against the stated threshold. This applies uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance regardless of game events affecting play continuity or participant status.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the ‘wisdom of the crowd,’ potentially incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, like injury reports or weather forecasts, than traditional betting venues. However, the degree of difference can vary significantly depending on the event and the level of public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and forecast the most likely result of the Washington vs Dallas passing game.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final passing completion total from the Washington vs Dallas game, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contract. It’s important to note that the resolution will be based on the official game statistics and not on any subjective interpretation or individual reporting. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding the starting quarterbacks for either team, such as injuries or changes in playing status, would likely cause a shift in the odds. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also influence the expected passing volume and therefore the market price. Unexpected changes in coaching strategy or key player matchups could also introduce new information that traders will react to. Finally, any late-breaking news about player health or team dynamics could lead to significant movement in this market before Sep 20, 2026.