TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Washington and Dallas. Bettors can speculate on whether specific players will exceed certain thresholds of pass attempts during the match. The outcome depends purely on the in-game performance of the named quarterbacks.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback in the Washington vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Markets exist for both quarterbacks (Dak Prescott and Jayden Daniels) at various thresholds (30+, 35+, 40+ for Prescott; 25+, 30+, 35+ for Daniels). All markets operate independently, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the respective threshold for that specific player. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are considered more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when compared to initial sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds can influence trading activity in this market, and vice versa, as information becomes available. It’s common to see convergence as the event draws nearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely passing attempt totals for Washington and Dallas. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempt totals for both the Washington and Dallas teams are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of their game. The final result will be based on the official game statistics as recorded by the league. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct passing attempt range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding quarterback injuries for either Washington or Dallas would be a major catalyst, as it would directly impact their expected passing volume. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if adverse conditions are predicted, could also shift the market, potentially favoring a run-heavy offensive strategy. Pre-game reports on defensive schemes and coaching strategies could provide insights into how each team intends to attack, influencing traders’ expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding key receiver availability could also move this market.