TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
Both Washington and Dallas have to score points specifically in the fourth quarter of regulation time, excluding any overtime scoring. This focuses the game's closing moments on offensive performance from both sides.
If Washington and Dallas both score points in the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Washington vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe both teams will score, the price will rise, potentially moving further from initial sportsbook offerings. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both teams will score in the fourth quarter. The price reflects the probability of the 'yes' outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price moves based on supply and demand – if more people want to buy 'yes' contracts, the price goes up, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the Washington and Dallas teams score at least one point each during the fourth quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will determine the payout for those who traded in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Washington or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or kicking game, could also move the market. Additionally, in-game performance during the first three quarters—such as dominant offensive displays or defensive struggles—could shift traders’ expectations and alter the price of this market before it resolves.