TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 6:17 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether either team will exceed specific point thresholds in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of offensive success.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by either Washington or Dallas in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a unique point threshold; if the designated team scores more than the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes.' Thresholds range from modest scores like 2.5 points to high benchmarks such as 30.5 points, offering multiple tiers of outcome possibilities. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market is driven by the opinions of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can arise from varying information sources, risk assessments, and biases. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing system aims to create a market that accurately reflects the true probability of the event happening.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by each team during the first half of the Washington vs Dallas game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the final result. The platform will verify the outcome against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington or Dallas would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's scoring, could also move the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game might also shift trader sentiment. Finally, late-breaking news about team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.