TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on individual team performance, measuring how many runs Boston and Washington each score during their June 29, 2026 game. Bettors can predict whether each team will exceed specific run totals independently.
The Washington vs Boston game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT will be evaluated for runs scored by each team separately. Boston's scoring is assessed against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs, while Washington's scoring is assessed against thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the respective team's final run total meets or exceeds the specified threshold.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. While sportsbooks adjust odds to balance liability, prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants, sometimes pricing outcomes more efficiently or capturing late-breaking information faster. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where traders see value or disagreement, though both venues ultimately reflect expectations about the same underlying event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks on the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see represents the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and reflects the current consensus among active traders. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread widens or tightens, and prices move to equilibrate supply and demand for each side of the team total outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the Washington vs Boston game concludes and the final team totals are verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the actual combined point totals for each team against the threshold set at market creation. Resolution is automatic once the event is finalized and confirmed, ensuring all traders receive their payouts based on the verified result.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp bettors or large institutional traders can also shift odds rapidly. Late-breaking news about player availability, coaching decisions, or momentum swings in either team's season may prompt repricing. Additionally, movement in related markets—such as game spreads or over-under totals—often correlates with this market, as traders adjust positions across linked outcomes.