TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market measures the margin of victory in the June 29, 2026 game between Washington and Boston. Bettors predict whether one team will win by a specific number of runs or more.
The Washington vs Boston game scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT will be evaluated based on the final run differential between the teams. Boston-favorable outcomes resolve to Yes if Boston wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs. Washington-favorable outcomes resolve to Yes if Washington wins by more than 1.5, 2.5, or 3.5 runs. Resolution depends on which team achieves the specified margin of victory.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges or sharp money enters the venue. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts reflecting their belief about the spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract moves based on supply and demand, with the current bid and ask visible on the platform. As traders place orders and execute trades, the market price continuously adjusts, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at transparent, real-time rates that reflect the collective forecast.
This market resolves around Jun 30, 2026, once the game concludes and the final spread is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score and the point differential between Washington and Boston. Resolution occurs after the event is confirmed through standard sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders. Early closure or postponement may affect timing, so monitor platform announcements for any updates.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp traders can shift prices quickly, especially as game day nears. Public news coverage, analyst commentary, and shifts in sportsbook lines often trigger repricing on prediction markets. Trading volume typically spikes in the final hours before kickoff, reflecting last-minute information and strategic positioning. Monitor team news feeds and sports media for developments that could alter expectations about the spread outcome.