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Closed: Jun 27, 10:24 PM EST
Kalshi
Bettors predict how many runs Baltimore and Washington will each score individually during their professional baseball game on June 27, 2026. Each outcome represents a threshold that the team's final run total must exceed.
This event covers individual team run totals for the Washington vs Baltimore game scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:05 PM EDT. Baltimore's run total thresholds range from over 1.5 runs through over 7.5 runs, with each outcome resolving to Yes if Baltimore scores at or above the specified threshold (2 runs for over 1.5, 3 runs for over 2.5, and so forth up to 8 runs for over 7.5). Washington's run total thresholds follow the same structure, ranging from over 1.5 runs through over 7.5 runs, with outcomes resolving to Yes if Washington scores at or above the corresponding run total. Each team's outcomes are independent; a Yes resolution for one team's threshold does not affect the other team's outcomes. Resolution is based on the final official run totals recorded at the conclusion of the game.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets reflect trader beliefs about true probabilities. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow, trader sophistication, and liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or signal where professional and casual bettors disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of that outcome's probability, ranging from near-zero to near-certainty. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, bids and asks adjust in real time, ensuring the market price stays responsive to changing expectations about the game's total scoring.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the Washington vs Baltimore game concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying the combined team total against credible public sources, such as official league records or major sports data providers. Once the result is verified and locked in, traders' positions settle according to whether the actual total matched their prediction.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, or weather updates can shift expectations for offensive output and defensive performance. Betting line movements at sportsbooks often precede prediction market moves, as do expert commentary and team news. Preseason form, recent head-to-head results, and any last-minute lineup adjustments will influence trader confidence in the total. As game time nears, late-breaking developments—such as a starting player being ruled out—typically trigger sharp repricing in this market.