TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Washington vs Baltimore: 4th Quarter Spread
kalshi

Washington vs Baltimore: 4th Quarter Spread

Volume:
$3,289

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

 - Kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 29, 2026

Closed: Aug 28, 9:18 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$751
N/A
N/A
$701
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
$110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$892
N/A
N/A
$782
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$565
N/A
N/A
$537
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins 4Q by over 10.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$345
N/A
N/A
$345
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins 4Q by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
$309
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins 4Q by over 3.5 points

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$181
N/A
N/A
$181
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins 4Q by over 2.5 points

0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$101
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington wins 4Q by over 6.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$6
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome represents different point differentials that must be achieved solely in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Washington and Baltimore during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on August 28, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory within that quarter: Baltimore must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or Washington must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. The outcome depends entirely on the scoring occurring strictly in the final quarter, with no regard to the overall game result or points scored in earlier quarters.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 4th quarter Washington-Baltimore spread market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,583. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of Baltimore covering the spread in the final quarter, with updates reflecting market sentiment and trading activity. The interface provides a clear view of market dynamics, including total volume of $3,289, allowing users to monitor shifts in expectation as the game approaches.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market curve that updates with each trade. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects collective trader assessment of Baltimore’s chances to cover the 4th quarter spread, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid reflection of new information, such as injury reports or weather conditions, distinguishing it from fixed sportsbook lines.

This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential in the 4th quarter, and will be finalized when authoritative sports databases and news outlets publish the confirmed scores. Traders can expect a swift resolution once the game concludes and data is widely available.

Key signals such as starting lineups, injury announcements, weather forecasts, and strategic coaching decisions could shift this market. Major betting trends or media coverage highlighting performance metrics may also influence trader sentiment. As the game nears, any last-minute changes — like a star player being ruled out or sudden weather shifts affecting gameplay — can cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring news and lineup updates is essential for tracking market movement.