TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on determining whether one team will dominate the final quarter of a football game by a specific margin. Each outcome represents different point differentials that must be achieved solely in the last quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between Washington and Baltimore during the 4th quarter of their scheduled game on August 28, 2026, with overtime points excluded from consideration. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory within that quarter: Baltimore must win by more than 10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points, or Washington must win by more than 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points. The outcome depends entirely on the scoring occurring strictly in the final quarter, with no regard to the overall game result or points scored in earlier quarters.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market curve that updates with each trade. The top outcome’s implied probability reflects collective trader assessment of Baltimore’s chances to cover the 4th quarter spread, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid reflection of new information, such as injury reports or weather conditions, distinguishing it from fixed sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics, specifically the point differential in the 4th quarter, and will be finalized when authoritative sports databases and news outlets publish the confirmed scores. Traders can expect a swift resolution once the game concludes and data is widely available.
Key signals such as starting lineups, injury announcements, weather forecasts, and strategic coaching decisions could shift this market. Major betting trends or media coverage highlighting performance metrics may also influence trader sentiment. As the game nears, any last-minute changes — like a star player being ruled out or sudden weather shifts affecting gameplay — can cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring news and lineup updates is essential for tracking market movement.