TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
The first market tracks whether the combined score of Washington and Baltimore exceeds various thresholds in the first quarter of their August 28, 2026 game. Thresholds range from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points, with each threshold representing a different level of scoring intensity.
Each market resolves to Yes if the collective points scored by both teams in the first quarter of the specified game exceed the stated threshold. Only points scored during the first quarter count, and all markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. The governing body's official scoring determines the outcome.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and betting volumes. While sportsbooks set lines based on broader public betting and analytical models, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated views and positions of active participants on Kalshi. This can lead to variations in implied probabilities, especially as game-specific news or performance indicators emerge.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the game’s first quarter ends and the official score is reported by credible public sources. The total points scored by both teams in that quarter determine the final result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategies, or weather conditions could shift expectations for first-quarter scoring and move this market. Strong early-game performance by either team’s offense or defense may also cause rapid adjustments in odds as the game begins. Any last-minute lineup changes or strategic decisions announced before kickoff will likely influence trader positioning in the coming days.