TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 6:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Oakland Athletics will defeat the Washington Nationals in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, an A's victory is priced at 96.0%, while a Washington win stands at 5.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the professional baseball game. Watch for the game's outcome on July 19, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT, when the scheduled contest concludes and the winner is determined.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Washington vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for July 19, 2026 at 4:05 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the real-time consensus probability among active traders. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens, and prices adjust instantly. This transparent, dynamic pricing model allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the game concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and which team wins the matchup. No further action is required from you after the event occurs; the platform will automatically settle all positions based on the verified result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Key catalysts include roster changes, injury announcements, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions on game day, home-field advantage, and any late-breaking lineup decisions can shift trader sentiment sharply. Media coverage and expert analysis may also influence how the market reprices as game time nears. Monitor team news and sports reporting closely; even minor roster updates or coaching decisions can trigger meaningful price swings in this market.