TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled for early June 2026 in the afternoon. The event concerns whether either team will score during the opening inning of play.
The market resolves on Jun 7, 2026, after the first inning of the Washington vs Arizona game concludes. Resolution is determined by whether either team scores at least one run during that inning. The outcome is final once the inning ends and official scoring is confirmed. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. This event-specific timing ensures the market closes shortly after the relevant game action, minimizing ambiguity and allowing rapid settlement.
Several factors can shift odds before the game starts and first inning concludes. Lineup announcements, especially the starting pitchers and top-order hitters, significantly influence first-inning scoring probability. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed—affect ball carry and home-run likelihood. Recent team form, bullpen health, and head-to-head matchup history also drive trader sentiment. Injury reports or late roster changes can reshape expectations. Once the game begins, early plate discipline, contact quality, and defensive plays in the first inning will move the market until resolution. Real-time game flow often creates sharp repricing as the inning unfolds.