TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Washington vs Arizona: First Inning Run
kalshi

Washington vs Arizona: First Inning Run

Volume:
$38,990

Yes

 - Kalshi

Yes - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Yes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$38,990
N/A
N/A
$36,415
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled, and the question concerns whether at least one team will score during the first inning of play.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from active traders and often differ from traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set fixed odds designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, prediction markets like Kalshi adjust continuously based on supply and demand. Sportsbooks may emphasize sharp action and closing line value, whereas prediction markets reward accurate forecasting. Comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where casual versus professional money disagrees on first-inning run probability, offering insight into market efficiency and potential value.

The Washington vs Arizona First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the completion of the first inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that inning. Once the first inning concludes and the official score is recorded, the market settles based on the final run count. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution is automatic and based on the official game record.

Several factors can shift the market before game time and during the first inning. Lineup announcements, particularly the batting order and any late roster changes, directly affect run-scoring probability. Pitcher injuries or bullpen adjustments alter offensive matchups. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed, temperature, humidity—influence ball carry and hit likelihood. Recent team form, home-field advantage, and head-to-head tendencies also matter. Once play begins, early hits, walks, errors, or defensive plays in the first inning will trigger sharp repricing as traders react to live action and updated run-scoring odds.