TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 10:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional baseball game between two teams is scheduled, and the question concerns whether at least one team will score during the first inning of play.
The Washington vs Arizona First Inning Run market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the completion of the first inning. The outcome is determined by whether at least one run is scored by either team during that inning. Once the first inning concludes and the official score is recorded, the market settles based on the final run count. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution is automatic and based on the official game record.
Several factors can shift the market before game time and during the first inning. Lineup announcements, particularly the batting order and any late roster changes, directly affect run-scoring probability. Pitcher injuries or bullpen adjustments alter offensive matchups. Weather conditions—wind direction and speed, temperature, humidity—influence ball carry and hit likelihood. Recent team form, home-field advantage, and head-to-head tendencies also matter. Once play begins, early hits, walks, errors, or defensive plays in the first inning will trigger sharp repricing as traders react to live action and updated run-scoring odds.