TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:09 PM EST
Kalshi
The event centers on a college football game between two rival teams. The focus is on whether either team will score through a defensive or special teams play. This scenario tests the ability of players to generate points through non-offensive efforts during the match.
If Washington St. and Washington collectively record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the Washington St. vs Washington college football game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds set by professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals’ independent assessments. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, with prediction markets sometimes offering more nuanced probabilities. Over time, these odds tend to converge as new information becomes available and more traders participate, but differences can still persist due to varying methodologies and incentives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a defensive/special teams touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating greater belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform facilitates this price discovery process, allowing traders to express their views and for the market to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The current price reflects the collective forecast of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a defensive or special teams touchdown is scored during the Washington St vs Washington football game. The result will be determined by official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the game and official results as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Key injuries to offensive players on either team, particularly the quarterback or key receivers, could increase the likelihood of turnovers and defensive scoring opportunities. Weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also favor a more conservative offensive approach and increase the chance of a defensive touchdown. Significant news regarding coaching strategies or special teams performance could also impact trader sentiment and move the market. Any unexpected developments leading up to and during the game could cause fluctuations in the price.