TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a college football matchup, focusing specifically on how many touchdowns each team scores during the game. It allows participants to speculate on whether either team will reach certain scoring thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the official game statistics for touchdowns, excluding other scoring methods like field goals or two-point conversions.
The event evaluates whether Kansas State or Washington State reaches specified touchdown thresholds in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold for touchdowns—ranging from 1 to 6—for each team. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team achieves or exceeds its designated touchdown count during the game, including any overtime periods. Two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, do not contribute to these totals. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially offering better value than traditional sports betting options. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total touchdown outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s potential results. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding these possibilities.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total touchdowns scored by each team in the Washington State vs Kansas State game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct total touchdowns will pay out $1.00. All other contracts will be worth $0.00 at resolution. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent any last-minute influence on the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington State or Kansas State would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, and even public sentiment expressed through polls or expert analysis, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.