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405,232
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 12, 1:28 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of a college football game. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the second quarter of the Washington St. vs Kansas St. college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold: if the combined second-quarter points exceed the specified threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. For any game postponement, if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. All markets are independent, and only points scored during the second quarter count toward resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likely outcome. If sportsbooks initially favor one team, but a significant number of traders believe the opposite, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts, offering potential value for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders directly bid and ask for contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders on the platform. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust to reflect the latest expectations. The current top market is for over 16.5 2nd quarter points scored, though probabilities are subject to change based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 2nd quarter of the Washington State vs Kansas State football game will determine whether the ‘Over’ or ‘Under’ contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to verify the result. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Washington State or Kansas State would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the 1st quarter – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could shift traders’ expectations and lead to price adjustments. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are other potential catalysts.