TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
polymarket
kalshi
predict

Who will win Washington Nationals vs San Diego Padres?

Volume:
$3,780,662

San Diego

 - Kalshi

San Diego - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 9, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 12:14 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Diego

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,710,452
N/A
N/A
$678,167
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$32,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

View
1%
37%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$79,612
$78,219
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$613,777
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Washington

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,299,163
N/A
N/A
$643,636
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,634
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,191
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the September 8th Major League Baseball game between the Washington Nationals and the San Diego Padres going to extra innings. Currently, the consensus probability of this occurring is 100.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution will be based on official final statistics from MLB.com. Keep an eye on the game’s score as it approaches the end of the 9th inning on September 8th to see if extra innings become a reality.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market specifies a game date of September 8, 2026, while Polymarket and Predict refer to September 8th of the current year. This date discrepancy creates a significant divergence.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets for this event due to the date discrepancy. Focus on Polymarket and Predict, as they align with the current game schedule. Be aware of the potential for a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled or ends in a tie.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official final statistics from MLB.com, with a fallback to credible reporting if stats aren't available within 24 hours. Includes a 50-50 resolution for cancellations or ties. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Washington or San Diego wins, but specifies a game date of September 8, 2026. "If Washington wins the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 8 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

If Washington wins the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If San Diego wins the Washington vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 8, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 8 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the Nationals-Padres game from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Predict. It provides a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding various outcomes related to the game, currently showing a combined volume of $3,780,662. This allows users to see how different platforms are pricing the same event and identify potential discrepancies. The dashboard tracks the overall market sentiment and provides insights into the collective wisdom of forecasters regarding the game’s potential results. It’s a central location to monitor the evolving probabilities as new information emerges.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks primarily aim to set lines that balance betting action and ensure profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more efficient at incorporating diverse information and reflecting the genuine probability of an event. However, sportsbooks often have lower transaction costs and wider accessibility. Currently, this market shows a different perspective than many sportsbooks, potentially reflecting unique insights from forecasters on Polymarket and Predict.