TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 6:47 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-09 01:40 UTC: If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-09-09 01:40 UTC: If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the San Diego Padres win, the market will resolve to "San Diego Padres". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of team strengths and potential game outcomes. If you observe a significant difference between the odds on Opinion and those at a sportsbook, it could signal an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the game.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Nationals-Padres game. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current probability assessment of that outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time forecast. The platform doesn't use any external factors to set prices; it's solely driven by supply and demand from users predicting the game's result.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official outcome of the Washington Nationals versus San Diego Padres game. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, starting pitcher changes, or weather forecasts could cause price fluctuations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or strategic shifts could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by pre-game analysis or expert predictions, could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential opportunities within this market.