TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 1:25 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of the Los Angeles Dodgers covering a -1.5 spread against the Washington Nationals in their upcoming MLB game. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi gives a 100.0% probability to the Dodgers covering the spread. Resolution will be based on the official results reported by https://www.mlb.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 6th, as the outcome will determine market settlement.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 6 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Washington vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 6 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. While there can be correlation, prediction markets sometimes diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. These differences can create opportunities for informed traders.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Nationals-Dodgers game can diverge due to a number of factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance, which can lead to differing opinions on the probability of various outcomes. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, if there's significantly more trading activity on Polymarket, its prices may be more responsive to new information. Different fee structures and market-making strategies employed by each platform can also contribute to price discrepancies. These differences reflect the independent assessments of traders on each venue.