TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a Major League Baseball game between the Washington Nationals and the Los Angeles Dodgers, specifically whether the total runs scored will be over or under 11.5. Currently, the consensus probability that the game will be over 11.5 runs is 10.0%, as aggregated from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Predict. Resolution will be based on the official results reported at https://www.mlb.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game scheduled for September 4th at 10:10 PM ET, as Predict is resolving to that specific fixture while Polymarket is resolving to the September 5th game at 9:10 PM ET.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 5 at 9:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
The market resolves based on the result of the Washington vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game scheduled for September 4, 2026. If Washington wins, its market resolves to Yes; if Los Angeles D wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond two days, markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Los Angeles Dodgers, scheduled for September 4 at 10:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers" if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds, like those seen on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when significant information isn't yet widely reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer more diverse betting options than are currently available on this market. Both offer valuable insights, but utilize different mechanisms for price discovery.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in starting pitchers, or weather forecasts affecting the game could shift probabilities. Unexpected lineup announcements or reports on team morale could also influence trader behavior. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, even those unrelated to baseball statistics, can sometimes impact market prices. Monitoring sports news, team social media, and general market activity will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.