TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 6:22 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-22 00:40 UTC: If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
In the upcoming MLB game, scheduled for 2026-07-22 00:40 UTC: If the Washington Nationals win, the market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the Colorado Rockies win, the market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies". The result will be determined based on the final score including any extra innings. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.mlb.com/ Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on their beliefs. This market aggregates the views of many independent forecasters, which can sometimes surface insights sportsbooks lag on—or occasionally miss consensus shifts. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to conventional betting lines.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to each outcome. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the crowd's estimated probability; higher prices mean higher perceived likelihood. As new information emerges or traders adjust their views, prices shift in real time. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or other factors that could influence the game.
This market resolves around Jul 22, 2026, once the game concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official game result, with no ambiguity about which team won. Resolution is straightforward and tied directly to the event itself, so traders can be confident in how their positions will settle. Check back closer to the end date for any final clarifications on timing.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, weather conditions on game day, and recent team performance trends. Trades by high-volume participants or sudden shifts in betting patterns can also trigger price moves as other traders react. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions often creates volatility. Additionally, if either team's playoff hopes or rest strategies shift, that sentiment can ripple through this market. Monitoring sports news and team updates in the days leading up to the game is essential for staying ahead of price swings.