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OPEN INTEREST:
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402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 14, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Sonia Citron will record more or fewer than 3.5 assists in the Washington Mystics versus Toronto Tempo WNBA game. On Polymarket, the over 3.5 assists outcome is currently at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by official statistics from WNBA.com. Watch for the final assist total recorded for Citron when the game concludes on July 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 14 at 7:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Toronto Tempo win, the market will resolve to "Toronto Tempo". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they serve different purposes. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect the collective belief of traders who have real money at stake. This market often reveals gaps between what the crowd genuinely expects and what traditional oddsmakers are offering. Comparing the two can highlight mispriced opportunities, especially when one venue has sharper information or when public money has skewed one side of the market.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on the event result, and the price reflects the collective willingness of participants to transact at that level. Larger trades move the price more dramatically, while consistent small orders can signal sustained conviction. The continuous pricing mechanism means odds update instantly as new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Jul 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by the actual result of the game between the two teams. Traders should monitor official league announcements and final box scores to understand when the market will settle and which outcome has been validated.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, lineup changes, and recent team performance trends. Unexpected roster moves or coaching decisions can shift trader expectations significantly. Public betting patterns and sharp money flowing into one side may also trigger repricing as the market absorbs new information. Close to game time, late-breaking news—such as a star player's status or weather conditions—often drives final volatility. Monitoring team news, social sentiment, and trading volume spikes helps identify when this market is likely to shift.