TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty
kalshi
polymarket

Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty

Volume:
$411,296

Spread -12.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -12.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 14, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,109
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,181
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 165.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,849
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 166.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 167.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Game goes to overtime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$162
N/A
N/A
$156
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group covers a WNBA matchup between the Washington Mystics and New York Liberty scheduled for June 14, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Kalshi offers a binary overtime market, while Polymarket offers a head-to-head winner market with detailed postponement and cancellation rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing distinct events: overtime occurrence vs. game winner. The markets have different settlement values and cannot be unified into a single resolution framework.Hero tip: Treat Kalshi and Polymarket as separate, non-redundant markets. Kalshi is a pure overtime binary; Polymarket is a winner-pick with cancellation provisions. Do not assume one resolves the other. Monitor both game outcome and OT status independently.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Overtime-only binary market. Resolves YES if and only if the game goes to overtime, regardless of final winner. Quote: 'If Washington and New York go to overtime in the Washington vs New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Head-to-head winner market with postponement and cancellation rules. Resolves to winner name if game is played; remains open if postponed; resolves 50-50 if canceled with no make-up. Quote: 'If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to Washington Mystics. If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to New York Liberty. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 14 at 3:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the New York Liberty win, the market will resolve to "New York Liberty". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Washington and New York go to overtime in the Washington vs New York women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price games differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, often adjusting for sharp money and public bias. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader consensus and real-money skin-in-the-game, which can surface inefficiencies sportsbooks miss. This market's odds may diverge from traditional betting lines due to differences in liquidity depth, trader sophistication, and the absence of a house edge. Comparing the two can reveal whether this matchup is mispriced relative to consensus expectations.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same event due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market microstructure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket typically attracts a broader retail audience, while Kalshi's regulatory framework and contract design may appeal to different trader segments. Liquidity depth, fee structures, and the specific wording of each platform's outcome criteria can also create temporary pricing gaps. These spreads often narrow as resolution approaches, but monitoring the divergence helps identify which platform's pricing may be more efficient or where arbitrage opportunities exist.

Key catalysts include injury reports, roster changes, and recent team performance trends heading into the matchup. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often precede prediction market shifts, so monitoring Vegas odds can provide early signals. Player availability, back-to-back game fatigue, and head-to-head historical matchups also influence trader positioning. Media narratives and public sentiment around each team's playoff hopes or season trajectory may drive volume spikes. As game day nears, late-breaking news—such as last-minute lineup adjustments or weather impacts—typically triggers sharp repricing across both platforms.