TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx
kalshi
polymarket

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx

Volume:
$516,606

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx

 - Polymarket

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 6:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$349,724
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$63,862
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 167.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 168.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,444
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 170.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Game goes to overtime

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$264
N/A
N/A
$235
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 169.5

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a WNBA matchup between the Washington Mystics and Minnesota Lynx scheduled for June 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Kalshi offers a binary overtime market, while Polymarket offers a moneyline (winner-take-all) market with postponement and cancellation provisions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket measure fundamentally different outcomes: Kalshi settles on whether overtime occurs (binary), while Polymarket settles on which team wins (categorical). A single game result can satisfy one market's criteria while failing the other's.Hero tip: Recognize these as orthogonal markets. Kalshi YES + Polymarket Mystics can both occur (Mystics win in OT). Kalshi NO + Polymarket Lynx can both occur (Lynx win in regulation). Position sizing and hedge logic must account for this independence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary overtime occurrence market. Resolves YES if the game goes to overtime, NO if it ends in regulation. Final winner is irrelevant to settlement. Key quote: 'If Washington and Minnesota go to overtime...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline winner market. Resolves to Washington Mystics, Minnesota Lynx, or 50-50 (if canceled). Overtime periods are included in final score calculation. Postponement keeps market open. Key quote: 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for June 21 at 6:00PM ET: If the Washington Mystics win, the market will resolve to "Washington Mystics". If the Minnesota Lynx win, the market will resolve to "Minnesota Lynx". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Kalshi

If Washington and Minnesota go to overtime in the Washington vs Minnesota women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jun 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price games through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover true probability. This market reflects what thousands of independent traders believe will happen, often incorporating sharper analysis and real-time adjustments. Comparing this market's implied odds to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities, especially when one source lags behind breaking news or injury reports.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create temporary price gaps. Polymarket and Kalshi may also settle slightly different outcome definitions—for instance, one might include overtime while the other focuses on regulation play. Arbitrage traders typically exploit these spreads, but windows can persist if one platform has lower volume or if traders weight recent data differently. Monitoring both helps you spot mispricings.

Key catalysts include injury announcements to star players, lineup changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Betting action from sharp bettors can also shift prices rapidly if they identify an edge. Closer to tip-off, pregame reports on player availability and coaching adjustments often trigger volatility. Real-time game flow—early leads, foul trouble, or momentum swings—will drive the most dramatic repricing as traders update their forecasts based on live action.