TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined in the second half of a football game. Each threshold represents a specific level of scoring intensity that determines the outcome of the market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles during the second half of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the combined score of both teams in the second half exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the combined score does not exceed the threshold, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets share the same secondary rule, which specifies that only points scored during the second half of regulation play are counted toward the resolution of the market. Overtime points are explicitly excluded from consideration for any of the markets. The markets are independent, and each threshold operates separately, allowing for multiple markets to resolve as 'Yes' or 'No' depending on the actual scoring outcome.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially in the lead-up to an event. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. However, it’s important to note that sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, while this market requires active participation on Kalshi to understand the implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the probability of the 2nd half total being over the specified number. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. The current price reflects the aggregated beliefs of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the second half of the Commanders-Eagles game will be used to determine whether the total points scored exceeded the threshold set by the market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be paid out or have their funds returned based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual result of the game.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Commanders or the Eagles would likely cause movement, as would updates on weather conditions that might affect scoring. Changes in offensive or defensive strategies announced by either team could also influence trading activity. Even significant shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, can play a role. Unexpected in-game events during the first half, such as a dominant performance by one team, could also lead to rapid adjustments in the price of contracts on Kalshi.