TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming football game. It reflects the competitive start of the match, focusing solely on the initial 15 minutes of play. The outcome depends entirely on which team scores more points in that opening segment.
If Philadelphia wins the 1st Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins the 1st Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs PHI Eagles Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by individuals trading based on their own analysis and information. If polls or analysts heavily favor one team, we might see a corresponding shift in the odds here, but the market isn't necessarily bound by those expectations. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or interpretations of the teams’ potential performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their beliefs about the game’s likely result, creating a real-time assessment of the first quarter’s potential winner.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team, if any, won the first quarter of the Commanders vs Eagles game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Commanders or the Eagles would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the perceived advantage of either team. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts, or even significant betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks, could sway trader sentiment and move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role.