TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles score together in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the combined points scored by both teams during the first quarter of the designated game. Each market features a unique numerical threshold—ranging from over 3.5 points to over 24.5 points—which determines whether the outcome is 'Yes' (if the total exceeds the threshold) or 'No' (if it does not). The thresholds increase progressively across the markets, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in the opening quarter. Only points scored in the first quarter count, and all markets are independent but share the same scoring basis. The official result depends solely on the actual game score at the end of the first quarter, with no adjustments for overtime, penalties, or other special conditions.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s price is determined by actual trading activity. If a significant number of traders believe the first quarter will have a high score, the price will rise, potentially moving further from the initial sportsbook line. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or simply varying perspectives on the likely outcome of the game. It’s a fascinating comparison to observe.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the game's potential scoring pace. This dynamic pricing means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Commanders-Eagles game will be used to determine whether the market settles on the 'over' or 'under' side. This information will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The resolution process ensures a transparent and accurate determination of the market's outcome based on the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Commanders or the Eagles would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in pre-game analysis and social media discussions, can play a role. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely scoring output in the first quarter has the potential to shift the price before Sep 13, 2026.