TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys. It specifically tracks performance during that quarter, not the overall game result. The outcome depends solely on third-quarter scoring.
If Dallas wins the 3rd Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins the 3rd Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Kalshi, tends to more closely reflect the true probabilities as perceived by the crowd. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, potentially creating differences. It’s common to see prediction markets as a more accurate indicator of event outcomes, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about which team will win the third quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi, reflecting the aggregated predictions of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the third quarter of the WAS Commanders versus DAL Cowboys game will determine the outcome. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will be used to verify the winner. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout of 100 minus any fees, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Commanders or the Cowboys would likely cause shifts in the market price. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly those affecting the passing game, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant line movements in traditional sportsbooks, or even notable betting trends reported in the media, might prompt traders to reassess their positions. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could also contribute to market volatility.