TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 7:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the second half of a football game between the Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys. It specifically evaluates performance from halftime onward, including any overtime periods, to decide the outcome.
If Dallas wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd Half (including overtime) of the WAS Commanders vs DAL Cowboys Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis and information. As a result, the price on Kalshi may diverge from traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Commanders and Cowboys. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, especially when incorporating a wide range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. Currently, the most actively traded contracts indicate the market's expectation for the second half winner. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, while increased selling pressure lowers it, ultimately determining the implied probability of each team winning.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the second half of the Commanders versus Cowboys game will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score and the winning team, as this will determine the payout of all contracts held on Kalshi for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Commanders or the Cowboys would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. In-game performance during the first half, such as a dominant offensive showing or a crucial turnover, will undoubtedly affect the perceived probabilities. Furthermore, any late-breaking news or analysis from respected sports commentators could sway market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations on Kalshi.