TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 8:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which golfer will hold the lead after the first round of a professional tournament. It offers a straightforward way to speculate on early performance without needing to follow the entire competition.
If Na Rin An is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pajaree Anannarukarn is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saki Baba is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Bae is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laetitia Beck is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ana Belac is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Borge is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Boutier is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Camille Boyd is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Helen Briem is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicole Broch Estrup is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ashleigh Buhai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adela Cernousek is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Briana Chacon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jennifer Chang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Anne Chen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hye Jin Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robyn Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chella Choi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If In Gee Chun is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carlota Ciganda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hailee Cooper is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauren Coughlin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniela Darquea is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Manon De Roey is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Perrine Delacour is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brianna Do is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amanda Doherty is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gemma Dryburgh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jodi Ewart Shadoff is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maria Fassi is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laney Frye is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Isi Gabsa is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sandra Gal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sofia Garcia is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linn Grant is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Melanie Green is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Savannah Grewal is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nataliya Guseva is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Erika Hara is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nasa Hataoka is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Muni He is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Celine Herbin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dani Holmqvist is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Charley Hull is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If You Min Hwang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Hee Im is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chisato Iwai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akie Iwai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Juniper Jang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiwon Jeon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leah John is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Soo Bin Joo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Danielle Kang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If MinJi Kang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Minami Katsu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gurleen Kaur is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Megan Khang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christina Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If A Lim Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frida Kinhult is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jin Young Ko is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mina Kreiter is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jennifer Kupcho is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephanie Kyriacou is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maude-Aimee Leblanc is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dongeun Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Somi Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mi Hyang Lee is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeong Eun Lee5 is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeongeun Lee6 is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucy Li is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ingrid Lindblad is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yu Liu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mary Liu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gaby Lopez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Julia Lopez Ramirez is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina Lopez-Chacarra Coto is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Polly Mack is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leona Maguire is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maria Marin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooke Matthews is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caley McGinty is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emma McMyler is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephanie Meadow is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carolina Melgrati is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Morgane Metraux is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Benedetta Moresco is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nastasia Nadaud is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hira Naveed is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuna Nishimura is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yealimi Noh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Natasha Andrea Oon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexa Pano is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kum Kang Park is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Emily Pedersen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pornanong Phatlum is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cassie Porter is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jessica Porvasnik is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Paula Reto is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mimi Rhodes is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kiara Romero is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pauline Roussin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gabriela Ruffels is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mao Saigo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kokona Sakurai is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lizette Salas is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuka Saso is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sophia Schubert is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hinako Shibuno is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jenny Shin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kate Smith-Stroh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Riley Smyth is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gigi Stoll is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linnea Strom is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rio Takeda is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chiara Tamburlini is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patty Tavatanakit is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carla Tejedo is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauren Hartlage is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lexi Thompson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Suvichaya Vinijchaitham is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lilia Vu is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lauren Walsh is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chanettee Wannasaen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dewi Weber is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yana Wilson is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lottie Woad is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miyu Yamashita is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jing Yan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amy Yang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Yin is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ina Yoon is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yuri Yoshida is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Madison Young is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michelle Zhang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Yahui Zhang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rose Zhang is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes. If Reagan Zibiliski is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Walmart NW Arkansas Championship presented by P&G, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a golfer is more likely to lead after the first round than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market offer a different perspective than conventional betting outlets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a golfer being the leader after Round 1 of the Walmart NW Arkansas Championship. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that golfer’s chances. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time indication of the perceived likelihood of each outcome. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, driven by traders’ individual predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the official leaderboard published immediately following the completion of Round 1 of the Walmart NW Arkansas Championship. The golfer at the top of the leaderboard at that time will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official tournament results and will not be subject to interpretation or dispute beyond the official standings.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding golfer form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly those impacting tee times or course difficulty, could also cause movement. Live leaderboard updates during practice rounds and early tournament play will provide valuable information for traders. Finally, large bets from informed traders could also create noticeable price swings as they express their conviction in a particular golfer’s chances of leading after Round 1.