TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.1b

24H VOL:

$132,500,164

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,797,847,289

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,760,774,483

510,905

Markets across

38,392

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,852

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Wales vs. Norway
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Wales vs. Norway?

Volume:
$9,966,334

Wales

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 1, 2026

Closed: Oct 1, 4:46 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Wales

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,075,766
N/A
N/A
$582,003
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wales

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,023,121
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

WAL

View
99%
85%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$20,269
$54,068
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
2%
18%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
—
$204
$39,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$670,190
N/A
N/A
$455,550
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Wales vs. Norway)

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$229,062
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

NOR

View
1%
66%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$9,125
$179,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Norway

View
0%
68%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,669,325
N/A
N/A
$2,775,611
Settled
No
polymarket

Norway

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,025,760
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Wales and Norway scheduled for October 1, 2026. Markets exist for Wales winning, Norway winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with similar fallback procedures for data availability and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled with no reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • No Data Within 24 Hours: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled completion of the match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Wales and Norway.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Wales vs Norway UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Wales win, Norway win, or a tie. If Wales or Norway wins in regulation time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes in a tie during regulation time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 1, 2026 between Wales and Norway.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This means that prediction markets can sometimes provide more accurate probabilities, particularly when there is a significant amount of volume. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer different types of wagers. The current volume on this market is $9,966,334, indicating active interest and price discovery.