TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 3:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Walczaki and Phantom compete in a Counter-Strike 2 esports match on June 20, 2026, with this market covering the outcome of the second map played. The winner of map 2 determines the resolution of this market.
If Walczaki wins map 2 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier 2026: Walczaki vs. Phantom CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phantom wins map 2 in the Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier 2026: Walczaki vs. Phantom CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 1:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders who stake real capital on outcomes they believe will occur. This market aggregates decentralized opinion from many participants, which can sometimes offer sharper or earlier signals than traditional sportsbook pricing, especially for niche esports matchups where liquidity varies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of probability across all active traders. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and offers, causing the price to move. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to real-time developments leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team wins Map 2 of the Walczaki vs. Phantom matchup. Your position settles based on the confirmed result, and any open positions are closed at that time. Traders should monitor official esports league announcements and match broadcasts to track developments as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, and head-to-head map history often influence trader positioning. Pre-match interviews, coaching adjustments, or public statements from players can trigger repricing. Hardware or connectivity issues during the broadcast, unexpected map bans, or in-game momentum swings may also prompt traders to reassess their positions. Monitoring esports news and team social media in the days leading up to the match can help you anticipate market moves.