TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of total points scored by both teams in a specific college football game. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of high-scoring outcomes.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Wake Forest and Purdue exceeds specified point thresholds in their game scheduled for September 12, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of the event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and sentiment emerge. It’s common to see differences, especially as the event nears, as traders react to news and updates that may not be fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Wake Forest-Purdue game will be over or under the specified threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe the total will be over, the price of 'Over' contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, offering a real-time assessment of the potential outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final points total scored in the Wake Forest versus Purdue game will be used to determine whether the 'Over' or 'Under' outcome prevails. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or Purdue would likely have a significant impact, as this could alter scoring expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also shift the market, as weather can affect scoring. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large volume trades from individual participants could temporarily move the price, reflecting their strong conviction about the likely outcome of the game.