TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate different thresholds of points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of a college football game. Each threshold represents a specific point total that, if exceeded, determines the outcome of that particular market.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the third quarter of the Wake Forest vs Purdue college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a unique threshold; if the combined third-quarter points exceed that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional point spreads, particularly when considering the 'wisdom of the crowd.' However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, offering another perspective on the probabilities involved in the Wake Forest vs Purdue game. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts. The current price reflects the probability that the total points scored in the 3rd quarter will fall below that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. A higher price indicates a greater belief that the total will be lower, while a lower price suggests expectations for a higher total. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing circumstances.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 3rd quarter of the Wake Forest vs Purdue game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine whether the contracts settled above or below the final price. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or Purdue would likely cause significant movement, as this directly impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could influence traders' beliefs about the likely 3rd quarter total, leading to adjustments in the price. Even general sentiment and public perception of each team's offensive capabilities can play a role.