TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the first quarter of a college football game between Wake Forest and Purdue. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to determine the outcome.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the first quarter of the Wake Forest vs Purdue college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. For markets specifying a Wake Forest victory, the outcome is Yes if Wake Forest leads by more than the stated point margin at the end of the first quarter. Conversely, for markets specifying a Purdue victory, the outcome is Yes if Purdue leads by more than the stated point margin at the end of the first quarter. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these markets. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public sentiment and information asymmetry. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or as public perception shifts, potentially offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the first quarter. However, as game time approaches, the two may converge.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the actual spread achieved in the first quarter of the Wake Forest versus Purdue football game. The official result will be sourced from recognized sports data providers and will determine which contracts payout. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the first quarter.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. News regarding key player injuries for either Wake Forest or Purdue would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact the spread. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment and alter the price of contracts. Public perception and betting trends from sportsbooks can also influence trading activity in this market.