TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 1:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team will score in an upcoming college football game. Each market represents a different scoring threshold for one of the teams, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by each team in the Wake Forest vs Louisville college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., Louisville over 16.5 points), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific scoring thresholds listed.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives. Sportsbooks may be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. However, initial sportsbook lines often serve as a useful benchmark when assessing the value in this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team performance, injuries, or other relevant factors impacting the expected team totals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at each price level, indicates the strength of conviction behind different outcomes. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of probabilities based on real-time information and analysis.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Wake Forest and Louisville are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official statistics reported by the relevant sporting authority. The market will determine which side of the proposed team total line is correct for each team, based on the final scores. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled according to their positions in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Wake Forest or Louisville would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy could also move the market. Finally, any significant public or media sentiment shifts regarding the teams' expected performance could also impact the prices in this market.