TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much one team outperforms the other in the second half of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored after halftime including any overtime periods.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Wake Forest vs Louisville college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold; if Louisville's second-half point differential exceeds the specified threshold, markets labeled for Louisville resolve as Yes, while those labeled for Wake Forest resolve as No, and vice versa. Only points scored in the second half count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as the event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. However, initial sportsbook lines often influence the starting price of this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches between sportsbooks and prediction market participants. It’s common to see the prices converge as kickoff nears.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the second half of the Wake Forest vs Louisville game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The closer we get to the game, the more liquidity typically flows into this market, leading to tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Wake Forest vs Louisville game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The specific spread that aligns with the final score will determine which contracts pay out, and the payout amount will depend on the price paid for those contracts at the time of purchase.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wake Forest or Louisville teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed participants could shift prices as they react to new information or express strong convictions about the likely outcome of the second half.