TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively James Madison University defeats Wagner College in an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different point margin threshold, allowing participants to speculate on the extent of James Madison's victory. The outcomes are determined by the final score of the game, with various thresholds defining success or failure.
The markets resolve based on the point differential by which James Madison University defeats Wagner in their college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, ranging from 24.5 to 66.5 points. If James Madison wins by more than the specified margin, the respective market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook's odds are mispriced, or vice versa. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into where the 'true' probability of an outcome might lie, according to those actively trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Wagner vs James Madison game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers and will determine which side of the spread ultimately wins. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either the Wagner or James Madison teams would likely cause movement. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts impacting the game, or even large bets placed by informed traders could all shift the market. Public perception, as reflected in updated polls or expert analyses, could also play a role, though the market is primarily driven by trading activity on Kalshi itself.