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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
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Closed: Sep 5, 1:43 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhuoxuan Bai and Joanna Garland in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Joanna Garland. This market will resolve to 'Joanna Garland' if Joanna Garland advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Zhuoxuan Bai and Joanna Garland in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Zhuoxuan Bai' if Zhuoxuan Bai advances against Joanna Garland. This market will resolve to 'Joanna Garland' if Joanna Garland advances against Zhuoxuan Bai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets, like this one, aim to reflect the collective wisdom of traders. This can sometimes lead to differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, particularly when there's significant public interest and active trading. However, sportsbook odds still represent a valuable data point for comparison.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tianjin tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more traders believe Zhuoxuan Bai will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely winner.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Tianjin tennis match between Zhuoxuan Bai and Joanna Garland. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting from reputable sports news sources. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts affecting the match schedule could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants or changes in broader tennis betting sentiment could trigger price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 12, 2026.