TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 2:33 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Miho Kuramochi and Darya Astakhova in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Miho Kuramochi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Miho Kuramochi and Darya Astakhova in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miho Kuramochi' if Miho Kuramochi advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Miho Kuramochi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission, which influences their odds, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant difference emerges between the implied probability from this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the likely outcome of the Tianjin tennis match. This discrepancy might reflect differing analyses of player form, head-to-head records, or other relevant factors, offering a potentially valuable signal for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tianjin tennis match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of each player winning, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a player will win, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tianjin tennis match between Miho Kuramochi and Darya Astakhova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will be the winning outcome for this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings of shares representing the correct outcome.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market before Sep 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving either player might also impact confidence levels. Even broader factors, such as weather forecasts for Tianjin, could play a role. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either Miho Kuramochi or Darya Astakhova winning is likely to be reflected in the market price.