TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 1:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Joanna Garland and Darya Astakhova in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joanna Garland' if Joanna Garland advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Joanna Garland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Joanna Garland and Darya Astakhova in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Joanna Garland' if Joanna Garland advances against Darya Astakhova. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Joanna Garland. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tianjin tennis match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome being correct. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Tianjin tennis match between Joanna Garland and Darya Astakhova. The platform will verify the winner through official tournament results and reporting from reliable sports news sources. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the winner of the match, as recorded by the tournament organizers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also impact sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could cause noticeable price movements. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts, while not directly reflected in the market, can indirectly influence trader behavior and contribute to shifts in the price of shares in this market.