TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 4:15 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and YeXin Ma in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against YeXin Ma. This market will resolve to 'YeXin Ma' if YeXin Ma advances against Jiaqi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and YeXin Ma in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiaqi Wang' if Jiaqi Wang advances against YeXin Ma. This market will resolve to 'YeXin Ma' if YeXin Ma advances against Jiaqi Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. This can be due to differing opinions on the likely outcome, as prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, while sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and profit margins. If sportsbooks heavily favor one player, this market might present an opportunity to take the opposite side if you believe the crowd's assessment is more accurate. It's important to compare the odds to understand where the discrepancies lie and potentially identify value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Tianjin tennis match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe Jiaqi Wang will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Tianjin tennis match between Jiaqi Wang and YeXin Ma. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting gameplay, or even significant shifts in public sentiment could all cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters perceptions of Jiaqi Wang or YeXin Ma’s chances of winning has the potential to create volatility and change the market’s direction.