TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Han Shi in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Kaji' if Haruka Kaji advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Haruka Kaji. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Han Shi in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Kaji' if Haruka Kaji advances against Han Shi. This market will resolve to 'Han Shi' if Han Shi advances against Haruka Kaji. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market aims to reflect the true probabilities as assessed by traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probability from this market to sportsbook odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom regarding the Tianjin tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of Haruka Kaji or Han Shi winning the match, and is driven entirely by supply and demand for shares in this market.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the W75 Tianjin tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Han Shi. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament results and sports news outlets. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either Haruka Kaji or Han Shi could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, major weather events in Tianjin that might affect the match schedule or playing surface could introduce volatility. Overall, any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either player winning is likely to move this market.