TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 3:45 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fangran Tian and Patcharin Cheapchandej in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Patcharin Cheapchandej. This market will resolve to 'Patcharin Cheapchandej' if Patcharin Cheapchandej advances against Fangran Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fangran Tian and Patcharin Cheapchandej in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fangran Tian' if Fangran Tian advances against Patcharin Cheapchandej. This market will resolve to 'Patcharin Cheapchandej' if Patcharin Cheapchandej advances against Fangran Tian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information advantages held by traders, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the players' chances. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy, especially when a large and informed trading volume develops.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more traders participate, the price of these shares adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is directly influenced by supply and demand; if more people believe Fangran Tian will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Tianjin tennis match between Fangran Tian and Patcharin Cheapchandej, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The market will determine which player won the match, and shares will be settled accordingly. The exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are published and verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, such as injury updates for either Fangran Tian or Patcharin Cheapchandej, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions at the tournament location could also impact expectations, as could analysis from tennis experts offering predictions about the match. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also contribute to price fluctuations before Sep 10, 2026.