TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Darya Astakhova and Patcharin Cheapchandej in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Patcharin Cheapchandej. This market will resolve to 'Patcharin Cheapchandej' if Patcharin Cheapchandej advances against Darya Astakhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darya Astakhova and Patcharin Cheapchandej in the W75 Tianjin, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darya Astakhova' if Darya Astakhova advances against Patcharin Cheapchandej. This market will resolve to 'Patcharin Cheapchandej' if Patcharin Cheapchandej advances against Darya Astakhova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and profit margins, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when there's strong public sentiment or new information emerges that isn't fully factored into sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can reveal insights into market perceptions.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, creating a dynamic and responsive valuation of the event's potential results. The current volume traded is $6,144.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Darya Astakhova versus Patcharin Cheapchandej tennis match in Tianjin. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to ensure accuracy. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and reliable process for determining the market's settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule or court surface could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, or even social media discussions generating strong opinions, might influence trading volume and price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players' chances of winning could lead to changes in this market.