TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 12:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizabeth Jurna and Iveta Dapkute in the W75 Quinta do Lago, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Jurna' if Elizabeth Jurna advances against Iveta Dapkute. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Elizabeth Jurna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Elizabeth Jurna and Iveta Dapkute in the W75 Quinta do Lago, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elizabeth Jurna' if Elizabeth Jurna advances against Iveta Dapkute. This market will resolve to 'Iveta Dapkute' if Iveta Dapkute advances against Elizabeth Jurna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into public perception versus professional assessment of the Jurna vs Dapkute match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Jurna vs Dapkute match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, meaning it’s a direct expression of trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Quinta do Lago match between Elizabeth Jurna and Iveta Dapkute. The platform will verify the result against widely available sources to determine which player advanced further in the tournament. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the winning outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the tournament schedule or venue could also have an impact. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders could trigger price movements, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the resolution of the Jurna vs Dapkute match.