TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 8:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Michaela Bayerlova in the W75 Quinta do Lago, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Michaela Bayerlova in the W75 Quinta do Lago, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carson Tanguilig' if Carson Tanguilig advances against Michaela Bayerlova. This market will resolve to 'Michaela Bayerlova' if Michaela Bayerlova advances against Carson Tanguilig. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to represent the true probability of an event occurring, though discrepancies can emerge due to differing information or risk appetites. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbook odds in accuracy, especially when a large number of participants contribute to the pricing. Comparing this market to external polls or expert analyses can reveal further insights into the perceived likelihood of each player winning.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the W75 Quinta do Lago tennis match between Carson Tanguilig and Michaela Bayerlova, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winner of the match will determine the outcome of this market, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be finalized.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather forecasts impacting the match schedule could also create volatility. Furthermore, significant bets placed by well-informed traders or large groups could cause noticeable price movements. Monitoring tennis news and social media for updates on the players and the tournament will provide valuable context for understanding potential shifts in this market.