TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:12 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Seda Baslilar and Paula Cembranos in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seda Baslilar' if Seda Baslilar advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Seda Baslilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Seda Baslilar and Paula Cembranos in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seda Baslilar' if Seda Baslilar advances against Paula Cembranos. This market will resolve to 'Paula Cembranos' if Paula Cembranos advances against Seda Baslilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the players’ chances or differing levels of information available to each group. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional forecasts, especially when a large number of informed traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each player winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy shares in a particular player, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential result. The current volume suggests a moderate level of interest in this event.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Neubourg tennis match between Seda Baslilar and Paula Cembranos, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the result is officially verified and the market is settled on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather affecting the court surface), or updates on their recent performance could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to this one, or even commentary from tennis analysts, could also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns on Polymarket, would likely cause the odds to adjust accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential shifts in the market’s price.