TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 11:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathilde Lollia and Manoly Rengeard in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Manoly Rengeard. This market will resolve to 'Manoly Rengeard' if Manoly Rengeard advances against Mathilde Lollia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mathilde Lollia and Manoly Rengeard in the W75 Le Neubourg, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mathilde Lollia' if Mathilde Lollia advances against Manoly Rengeard. This market will resolve to 'Manoly Rengeard' if Manoly Rengeard advances against Mathilde Lollia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Le Neubourg trotting race. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This creates a dynamic pricing system that constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each horse’s chances of winning.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the W75 Le Neubourg trotting race will determine the winning horse, and that will be used to settle this market. The platform will verify the results against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake. The process is designed to be transparent and based on objective event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before the race takes place. Any news regarding the condition of the horses, such as injuries or illness, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in jockey assignments or track conditions could also shift the probabilities. Public sentiment and betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also influence trading activity on Polymarket. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also play a role, potentially favoring certain horses over others. Monitoring these signals can help traders make informed decisions about their positions in this market.