TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Laura Hietaranta in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Laura Hietaranta. This market will resolve to 'Laura Hietaranta' if Laura Hietaranta advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Manon Leonard and Laura Hietaranta in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Manon Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Laura Hietaranta. This market will resolve to 'Laura Hietaranta' if Laura Hietaranta advances against Manon Leonard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new developments and provide a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the Le Neubourg trotting race.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official results of the W75 Le Neubourg trotting race will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will be paid out based on their holdings in the winning outcome. It’s important to monitor news sources and official race results as the event approaches to stay informed about potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could move this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding the condition of the horses, Manon Leonard or Laura Hietaranta, such as injuries or changes in training, could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected weather conditions on race day could also influence the outcome, as different horses perform better in varying conditions. Finally, any shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the horses' chances could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the market prices.