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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:31 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Yasmine Mansouri in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Yasmine Mansouri. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Mansouri' if Yasmine Mansouri advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Yasmine Mansouri in the W75 Le Neubourg, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lucie Nguyen Tan' if Lucie Nguyen Tan advances against Yasmine Mansouri. This market will resolve to 'Yasmine Mansouri' if Yasmine Mansouri advances against Lucie Nguyen Tan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market's odds are determined by supply and demand from individuals trading on Polymarket. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the players' chances. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s assessment of each player’s likelihood of winning the Le Neubourg tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Le Neubourg tennis match between Lucie Nguyen Tan and Yasmine Mansouri. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on publicly available information and official tournament records.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Sep 23, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about a player’s form or fitness, or even weather forecasts impacting the match schedule, could lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market.